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How Jurors Perceive Forensic Evidence Conclusion Formats

Written by: Alan Baker 14th March, 2025

Forensic expert reports play a crucial role in courtroom decision-making, but how much does the way evidence is presented impact jurors? A recent US study by Agnes S. Bali and Kristy A. Martire explored how different forensic evidence conclusion formats in court affect juror evaluations.

Study Overview

The researchers conducted two experiments with mock jurors, presenting them with expert reports on footwear evidence. The conclusions were formatted in four different ways:

– Likelihood Ratio (LR): Expresses probability comparisons.

– Random-Match Probability (RMP): Shows how often a match could occur by chance.

– Verbal Labels: Uses qualitative terms like “moderate support.”

– Categorical Statements: Gives a definitive conclusion.

Jurors assessed the weight of the forensic evidence and made verdict decisions based on these formats.

Key Findings

Surprisingly, the study found that forensic evidence conclusion formats in court did not significantly impact how jurors evaluated evidence. Regardless of whether conclusions were statistical (LR, RMP) or categorical, jurors assigned similar weight to the evidence and made comparable verdict choices.

Implications for Forensic Science

These findings suggest that forensic experts can confidently use scientifically rigorous formats without worrying about influencing juror perception. This supports a shift toward more accurate and transparent forensic evidence conclusion formats in court, improving expert testimony without affecting case outcomes.

Conclusion

The study highlights that while forensic science continues to evolve, the forensic evidence conclusion formats in court do not drastically alter juror assessments. This insight encourages forensic professionals to adopt best practices in reporting while maintaining clarity and credibility in expert testimony.

 Whilst this blog relates to the US judicial system, it still has relevance to juror’s perceptions of forensic evidence in the UK.

 

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